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Archive for the ‘Current News’ Category

Bank of America is Approaching Penny Stock Territory

Posted on November 30th, 2011 by admin

Bank of America Corp (NYSE)‎

Three months after the world’s most famous investor bought a $5 billion stake in the beleaguered bank, Bank of America’s stock on Tuesday sank to nearly $5 a share. It’s the cheapest price for the shares since March 2009. Stocks that trade for less $5 each are deemed penny stocks in some quarters and shunned by big investors.

Citigroup lifted its share price from the penny-stock basement to a more respectable realm earlier this year by orchestrating a reverse 1-for-10 split of its stock. The bank’s management said a higher stock price would make its shares more attractive to investors, although such attractiveness seems lost on most since the Citi’s stock is down 46% this year.

5.31 +0.24‎ (4.73%‎)  Nov 30 9:33am ET
Open: 5.40
High: 5.41
Low: 5.29
Volume: 23,356,056
Avg Vol: 270,588,000
Mkt Cap: 53.72B

A reverse split must be looking pretty tempting now to BofA CEO Brian Moynihan, considering his company’s stock is down an eye-popping 62% so far this year. There doesn’t seem to be any particular reason for the stock’s decline on Tuesday, other than the usual worries about Europe’s financial problems spilling into the U.S.

Near the stock’s low for the day, BofA’s Merrill Lynch division issued a press release declaring that “recent financial hardship inspires mass affluent consumers to tighten wallets.” Presumably at least some of these people are feeling poorer because they own Bank of America shares.

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Why Shorting Stocks is a Bloodsport

Posted on August 15th, 2011 by admin

Here we are with weak retail, consumer confidence and Empire State manufacturing data to begin our day.  This type of thing typically puts pressure on commoditized box-making old tech names.  And you’re short Motorola Mobility ($MMI), as hopeless an also-ran in the wireless box-maker space as ever there was.  And please don’t tell me about patents, Nortel had $5 billion worth and still went bankrupt; the truth is that Morotola Mobility had very little reason to live as an ongoing business.

But then you get to work and read that Google ($GOOG) has announced a $12.5 billion buyout for the company, paying a 63% premium.  You are murdered despite all the technical and fundamental reasons that the company should have made for a terrific “investment short” for years to come.

This is just one more example of how difficult shorting individual stocks is.  You can add it to the list below:

Why Shorting Stocks is a Bloodsport

1.  The markets overall have an upward bias over long stretches of time

2.  The “big winner” math is difficult – a 2 dollar stock going to 10 has quintupled but a 10 dollar stock dropping to two has only gained 80%

3.  Just when things begin to get juicy to the downside, governments tend to intervene with “special assistance”, bailouts and even short-selling bans

4.  Investors are less mad when you’re long and the market is down, they are furious when you’re short and they are missing a rally

5.  The best shorts get crowded in a hurry, preventing the cascading drop that the worst stocks deserve

6.  The borrowing process can be a royal pain, especially when there is an interest rate involved for hard-to-find shares

7.  Shorting investments with dividends or some type of income distribution means dealing with “negative carry”, even John Paulson’s Greatest Trade Ever meant making insurance premium payments on the credit default swap portfolio while waiting to be right.

8.  It is hard to publicly enjoy the victory, you are more likely to be investigated and publicly shamed for a winning short than be congratulated on your research

This post previously appeared at the author’s blog, The Reformed Broker.

 

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Stocks Move Higher on Google Aquisition and News Out of Japan

Posted on August 15th, 2011 by admin

Stocks rallied at the opening bell Monday after another round of corporate acquisitions and a better-than-expected economic report from Japan.

The New York Stock Exchange formally unveiled its redesigned trading post Monday, Aug. 15, 2011.

Google said it will buy wireless phone maker Motorola Mobility for $12.5 billion, the biggest of three deals announced Monday that each topped $1 billion.

Earlier, world markets rose after Japan said its economy shrank last quarter by less than half of what economists expected following its March earthquake.

That helped overshadow worries about the weak economy.

Though concerns remain over the state of the global economy and Europe’s debt crisis, many investors think the recent sell-off has been overdone and are snapping up potential bargains.

“Some stability appears to be returning to markets …. but businesses remain wary that the U.S. government isn’t doing enough to arrest its massive budget deficit and that European governments aren’t doing enough to avert financial contagion from infecting the banking system,” said Sal Guatieri, an analyst at BMO Capital Markets.

Stock trend


Dow Jones industrial average, five trading days

The calmer mood has been helped by last Friday’s better than expected U.S. retail sales figures for July and news earlier that Japan contracted by an annualized rate of 1.3% in the second quarter after the devastating earthquake and tsunami. The consensus in markets was that Japan’s economy would have shrunk by at least double that rate.

Europe’s debt crisis will be in the spotlight this week, particularly on Tuesday when French leader Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel meet, and second-quarter eurozone growth figures are published.

“The Franco-German summit on Tuesday in Paris will be a major focus for financial markets this week, especially coming so shortly after what has been a very tumultuous week for France in financial markets,” said Jan Dubsky, euro area economist at the Royal Bank of Scotland.

Of particular interest will be what the two leaders say about the viability of a eurobond as a potential solution to Europe’s debt crisis, which has already seen three eurozone countries get bailed out. With a eurobond, the 17 countries that use the euro would jointly issue debt.

One of the reasons Europe’s debt crisis has flared again is that the markets started fretting about the state of the public finances of Italy and Spain.

That prompted the European Central Bank a week ago to start intervening directly in the markets to support their bond prices. Figures later Monday will show how much the ECB splashed out in this bond-buying program, which has worked in getting both countries’ borrowing costs down to manageable levels.

In return for directly buying Italian bonds, the ECB wanted more austerity from the government. Last week, Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi announced —45.5 billion ($64.8 billion) in emergency austerity measures.

The improving appetite for risk, evidenced by the more benign stock market conditions, was evident in currency markets too, with the euro up 0.8 percent at $1.4385.

And notably, the Swiss franc continued to fall on speculation that the Swiss National Bank will peg the currency to the euro. Swiss officials have hinted that further action could be taken, after liquidity measures, to correct the currency’s “massive overvaluation” in recent trading. By mid afternoon, the euro was 0.7 percent higher on the day at 1.1275 francs.

Despite the speculation, BNP Paribas strategists said in a report that the Swiss franc “is susceptible to renewed strength if the markets do not receive some official signals of pending action by midweek.”

In Asia, stock markets rose Monday as data showed the economy of earthquake-battered Japan shrank less than expected.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 index closed up 1.4 percent at 9,086.41 while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index shot up 3.3 percent to 20,260.10.

Mainland Chinese shares gained for a fifth trading day on expectations the government announce new measures to support growth. The Shanghai Composite Index added 1.3 percent to 2,626.77 and the Shenzhen Composite Index rose 1.4 percent to 1,175.41.

In the oil markets, prices recovered alongside equities. The main New York contract was up 25 cents at $85.63 a barrel.

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Beacon Power Down 6.5%

Posted on August 9th, 2011 by admin

Beacon Power (NASDAQ:BCON – Snapshot Report) is one of today’s worst performing penny stocks, down 6.5% to $0.87 on 0.9x average daily volume. Approximately 251,000 shares have traded hands today vs. 30-day average volume of 281,000 shares.

High volume often signals a change in trends. Shares of Beacon Power are currently trading below their 50-day moving average (MA) of $1.24 and below their 200-day MA of $2.03.

SmarTrend scans for speculative penny stocks under $1 for reversals in trends. A large price movement may signal continuation or reversal of a trend.

Beacon Power is in SmarTrend’s Industrial Electrical Equipment industry and this industry is currently in a Downtrend. An industry trend that matches the stock’s trend helps to add conviction to the stock’s Downtrend and price prediction.

SmarTrend is monitoring the recent change of momentum in Beacon Power. Please refer to our Company Overview for the results of our proprietary technical indicators that have been scanning shares of Beacon Power in search of a potential trend change.

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Flagship Bancorp Down 4.2%

Posted on August 4th, 2011 by admin

Flagstar Bancorp (NYSE:FBC – Snapshot Report) is one of today’s worst performing penny stocks, down 4.2% to $0.70 on 0.1x average daily volume. Approximately 399,000 shares have traded hands today vs. 30-day average volume of 3.4 million shares.

High volume often signals a change in trends. Shares of Flagstar Bancorp are currently trading below their 50-day moving average (MA) of $1.21 and below their 200-day MA of $1.46.

SmarTrend scans for speculative penny stocks under $1 for reversals in trends. A large price movement may signal continuation or reversal of a trend.

Flagstar Bancorp is in SmarTrend’s Savings & Loans industry and this industry is currently in a Downtrend. An industry trend that matches the stock’s trend helps to add conviction to the stock’s Downtrend and price prediction.

SmarTrend currently has shares of Flagstar Bancorp in an Downtrend and issued the Downtrend alert on June 07, 2011 at $1.24. The stock has fallen 40.9% since the Downtrend alert was issued.

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